Pro-Israel lobbyists in Washington are openly planning for a future US government hostile to Israel, and their answer is to tie the two countries' militaries and economies so tightly that sanctions on Israel would hurt America too. This is bad news for Israel's standing in the US and a warning sign for anyone who wants US foreign policy kept separate from Israeli interests.

• Mark Dubowitz of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies wrote that Israel must prepare for "financial warfare" from a US president who takes office in 2029 and stops shielding Israel at the UN.
• His main fix is deeper US-Israel military, tech, intelligence, and economic integration, so that punishing Israel would carry a big cost for Washington.
• This is the real motive behind Section 219, the push to merge the IDF with the US military, at a time when the 10-year US aid deal is getting harder to renew.
• Israel is exposed because most of its exports are high-tech and most of its venture capital comes from foreign investors, largely American.
• Polls show more Americans now sympathize with Palestinians than Israelis, and a majority of Republicans under 50 view Israel unfavorably.

Outlook: Expect the Israel lobby to push hard for military and economic integration before public opinion translates into real US sanctions or cuts to aid.